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Perspectives on Outsourcing

NASSCOM-Evalueserve report on ‘Impact of Global Sourcing on the US Economy, 2003 – 2010’

Thursday, October 09, 2003

http://www.nasscom.org/artdisplay.asp?Art_id=2118
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  • Over the next decade, the US economy will mirror the growth of the 1990s leading to an increased demand for labor. There will be a domestic labor shortfall of approx. 5.6 million workers by 2010 due to slow population growth and an aging population

  • If the labor shortfall is not met, the US economy will lose out on growth opportunities resulting in an estimated cumulative loss of $2 trillion by 2010. Global sourcing in the form of immigration, temporary workers and offshoring can overcome this shortfall

  • For every $100 of call-center work offshored by US firms, $143 is invested back into the US economy in the form of repatriated profits, increased sales of telecom equipment and cost-savings

  • Similarly, the amount invested back into the US economy (for every $100 of work) is $133 for IT services, and $142 for high-end knowledge services like equity research, underwriting, tax preparation and risk management

  • Offshoring of IT services has enabled US workers move to specialized and creative roles while moving process oriented programming to offshore locations. The proportion of specialists in the US IT workforce increased from 38% in 1983 to 74% in 2002

  • Utilization of offshore facilities results in the growth of the local economies and an increase in the disposable income leading to the expansion of the global market for US goods and services. For example, in India the proportion of the consuming class in the overall population expanded from 14% to 30% in the 1990s and is set to reach 40% in 2006-07. The Indian retail sector is expected to grow from $180 billion in 2003 to $300 billion by 2010

  • There will be a short-term impact on the US labor force. About 1.3 million jobs will move offshore between 2003-2010, impacting about 1 million US workers. Of these, about 0.7 million (0.4% of the labor force) will be unemployed for a short duration. Over 8 million jobs are reallocated every quarter in the US economy and hence, the reallocation process will not be a strain for those who are temporarily unemployed
  • About 0.3 million workers (0.2% of the workforce) will be unemployed for more than 3 months due to offshoring. This segment will require re-training and redeployment

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